Current Demographic Research Report #11, December 15, 2003.

CDERR (Current Demographic Research Reports) is a weekly email report produced by the Center for Demography and Ecology at the University of Wisconsin-Madison that helps researchers keep up to date with the latest developments in the field. This report will contain selected listings of new: reports, articles, bibliographies, working papers, tables of contents, conferences, data, and websites. For more information, including an archive of back issues and subscription information see:


Index to this issue:


Census Bureau News Release
National Center for Health Statistics Reports
Centers for Disease Control Periodical Article
Bureau of Justice Statistics Report
Bureau of Labor Statistics Periodical
Department of Housing and Urban Development Periodical
US Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service Report
Statistics Canada Report
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs Report
United Nations Children's Fund Report
World Health Organization Monograph
_Pan American Journal of Public Health_ Special Issue
Demographic and Health Survey Final Report
National Research Council Monograph
Kaiser Family Foundation Reports
Allen Guttmacher Institute Periodical
Johns Hopkins Info Health Pop Reporter


Population Council
Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)
Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattai (FEEM)


Other Journals


RAND Fellows in Population Studies and the Study of Aging
University of Washington Center for the Study of Demography and Ecology


Census Bureau
Panel Study of Income Dynamics
Inter-University Consortium for Political and Social Research




Census Bureau News Release: "Lincoln, Neb., Boasts One of Highest Rates of High School Graduation in Nation" (CB03-CN.72, Dec. 11, 2003). Note: The news release links to data (Microsoft Excel format) on large metropolitan areas containing high school completion rates, bachelors degree or higher, median household income, percent of people all ages in poverty, percent of related children under 18 in poverty, and mean travel time to work. The data was gathered from the 2002 American Community Survey.

Click on "attached tables" for link to tables.

National Center for Health Statistics Reports:

A. "Summary Health Statistics for the U.S. Population: National Health Interview Survey, 2001," by P.M. Barnes, P.F. Adams, and J.S. Schiller (Vital and Health Statistics Vol. 10, No. 217, December 2003, .pdf format, 82p.).

B. "Summary Health Statistics for U.S. Adults: National Health Interview Survey, 2000," by J.R. Pleis, J.S. Schiller, and V. Benson (Vital and Health Statistics Vol. 10, No. 215, December 2003, .pdf format, 132p.).

Centers for Disease Control Periodical Article: "Update: Influenza Activity --- United States, 2003--04 Season" (_Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report_, Vol. 52, No. 49, Dec. 12, 2003, HTML and .pdf format, p. 1197-1202).



Bureau of Justice Statistics Report: "Felony Defendants in Large Urban Counties, 2000," by Gerard Rainville and Brian A. Reaves (NCJ 202021, December 2003, HTML and .pdf format, 46p., with .zip compressed spreadsheets).


Presents data collected from a representative sample of felony cases filed in 40 of the Nation's 75 largest counties during May 2000. The cases are tracked for up to one year to provide a complete overview of the processing of felony defendants. Data collected includes current arrest charges, demographic characteristics, prior arrests and convictions, criminal justice status at arrest, type of pretrial release or detention, bail amount, court appearance record, adjudication outcome, and sentence received if convicted. This periodic report is published every two years.

Bureau of Labor Statistics Periodical: _Occupational Outlook Quarterly_ (Vol. 47, No. 3, Fall 2003, .pdf format).

Note: This is a temporary address. When the next _OOQ_ is released, this one, along with all others back to 1999, will be available at:

Department of Housing and Urban Development Periodical: "_U.S. Housing Market Conditions: Fall 2003_" (.pdf format). "_U.S. Housing Market Conditions_, published quarterly, is a compilation of statistical data and written reports. Tabular data indicate market conditions on the national level and are presented for each quarter. Historical data are also presented in summary tables. Overviews of economic and housing market trends are presented for ten geographical regions, the report for each of which includes a profile on a selected housing market. Each issue includes a summary of the overall trends in national housing and a topical piece that describes a particular, noteworthy aspect of housing activity." Back issues (to 1994) are available at the site (ASCII text or .pdf format).

US Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service Report: "Food Stamp Program Access Study: Local Office Policies and Practices," by Vivian Gabor, Brooke Layne Hardison, Christopher Botsko, and Susan Bartlett (E-FAN No. 03-013, December 2003, .pdf format, 345p.).


A survey of State food stamp offices shows that many policies and practices recommended by USDA in 1999 to improve accessibility to the Food Stamp Program (FSP) were widely operational by the year 2000. For example, in the surveyed areas, food stamp outreach campaigns were fairly widespread, food stamp applications were accessible, and some accommodations for the elderly and disabled were common. Other recommended practices, however, were less common, notably practices to encourage participation by working families and former recipients of Temporary Assistance for Needy Families. The survey also found barriers to participation prevalent for some segments of the food stamp population and opportunities for conducting food stamp business after regular office hours limited. The dramatic decline in FSP participation in the late 1990s led policymakers and analysts to focus on local food stamp office policies and practices as possible barriers to participation. The Food Stamp Program Access Study is examining the relationship between these practices and the decision by eligible households to participate in the FSP. This report presents a detailed analysis of FSP operations that may affect accessibility.

Statistics Canada Report: "How healthy are Canadians? Annual report 2003" (Health Report, Supplement to Vol. 14, December 2003, .pdf format, 66p.).

Click on "Annual Report 2003" for full text.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs Report: "World Population in 2300, Highlights," (December 2003, .pdf and Excel format, 20p.).

United Nations Children's Fund Report: "Africa's Orphaned Generations" (UNICEF, 2003, .pdf format, 52p.). "The chilling consequences of the HIV/AIDS epidemic are documented in this 52-page report, which provides new data and analysis on sub-Saharan Africa's 11 million orphaned children and the households in which they live. Although the epidemic has pushed many families beyond their ability to cope, the report argues that immediate action can ensure that the continent's orphaned children are safe, healthy and educated. It encourages hope in the face of an epic disaster."

Click on "PDF" for full text.

World Health Organization Monograph: _Climate change and human health - risks and responses_, by A.J. McMichael, D.H. Campbell-Lendrum, C.F. Corvalan, K.L. Ebi, A. Githeko, J.D. Scheraga and A. Woodward (2003, 250p., ISBN 92 4 156248 X, 18 US dollars).

Press Release:

_Revista Panamericana de Salud Publica_ (_Pan American Journal of Public Health_) Special Issue: Vol. 14, No. 4, of _RPSP_ is a special issue devoted to recreational physical activity in Latin America. Articles are in text and .pdf format in either Spanish, English, or both, with abstracts available in English.

Demographic and Health Survey Final Report: The DHS Final Report for the Uganda 2000/01 survey is available (.pdf format, 213p.).

National Research Council Monograph: "Improving Racial and Ethnic Data on Health: Report of a Workshop," edited by Daniel Melnick and Edward Perrin (National Academies Press, 2003, OpenBook format, 58p.) Note: Ordering information is available at the site.

Kaiser Family Foundation Reports:

A. "The Role of Health Coverage for People with Disabilities: Findings from a 2003 Survey" (December 2003, .pdf format, 24p, with chartpack, .pdf format, 22p., and press release). "People with disabilities are at risk in the health-care system because of their wide-ranging health-care needs, their relatively heavy use of prescription drugs, health-care and support services, and typically low incomes. A new survey of people with permanent mental and/or physical disabilities explores their health-care experiences and challenges in accessing and paying for care."

B. "Reaching the MTV Generation: Recent Research on the Impact of the Kaiser Family Foundation/MTV Public Education Campaign on Sexual Health" (December 2003, .pdf format, 20p., with toplines, .pdf format, 14p., and press release). "Since 1997, MTV: Music Television and the Kaiser Family Foundation have partnered on an Emmy Award-winning public education partnership to inform and empower young people about critical sexual health issues. Close to a million young people have called the campaign's toll-free hotline to receive additional information on sexual health topics, be connected with a counselor, or find a local HIV/STD testing center. Millions more have visited the comprehensive website ( for additional information and resources, or participated in community events across the country, and the campaign has distributed nearly half a million copies of _Its Your (Sex) Life: Your Guide to Safe & Responsible Sex_, the informational guide about a young person's sexual health. A survey of 16-to 24- year-olds nationwide indicates that the campaign is having positive results. More than one in two recognize the campaign, and many say they have acted on what they have seen.

Allen Guttmacher Institute Periodical: _International Family Planning Perspectives_ (Vol. 29, No. 4, December 2003, HTML and .pdf format).

Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health's Center for Communication Programs Compendium: Info Health Pop. Reporter (Vol. 3, No. 50, Dec. 15, 2003). "The Johns Hopkins University Population Information Program delivers the reproductive health and family planning news you need. Each week our research staff prepares an electronic magazine loaded with links to key news stories, reports, and related developments around the globe."

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Population Council:

A. "Consistency in the reporting of sexual behavior among adolescent girls in Kenya: A comparison of interviewing methods," by Paul C. Hewett, Barbara S. Mensch and Annabel S. Erulkar (Working Paper 182, 2003, .pdf format, 32p.). Links to an extensive abstract and full text can be found at:

B. "Marriage in transition: Evidence on age, education, and assets from six developing countries," by Agnes R. Quisumbing and Kelly Hallman (Working Paper 183, 2003, .pdf format, 69p.). Links to an extensive abstract and full text can be found at:

For both papers, click on "Download the full Working Paper in PDF format" at the bottom of the abstract for full text.

Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) [University of Bonn, Germany]:

A. "Individual Mortality and Macro-Economic Conditions from Birth to Death," by Maarten Lindeboom, France Portrait, and Gerard J. van den Berg (IZA Discussion Paper DP-930, November 2003, .pdf format, 34p.).


This paper analyzes the effects of macro-economic conditions throughout life on the individual mortality rate. We estimate flexible duration models where the individual's mortality rate depends on current conditions, conditions earlier in life (notably during childhood), calendar time, age, individual characteristics, including individual socio-economic indicators, and interaction terms. We use individual data records from Dutch registers of birth, marriage, and death certificates, covering an observation window of unprecedented size (1812-1999). These are merged with historical data on macro-economic and health indicators. The results indicate a strong effect of macro-economic conditions during childhood on mortality at all ages. Those who are born in bad times on average have a high mortality rate throughout life, in particular during childhood itself and at ages above 50. Current macro-economic conditions mostly have an effect on youths and on the elderly.

B. "Time, Money, Peers, and Parents: Some Data and Theories on Teenage Behavior," by Peter Kooreman (IZA Discussion Paper DP-931, November 2003, .pdf format, 41p.).


In the first part of the paper I analyze a data set on teenage behavior. The data is a sample of high school students in the Netherlands, and contains information on teenage time use, income, expenditures, and subjective measures of well-being and self-esteem. As all students in a sampled class are interviewed in principle, the data set has rich information on the behavior of potentially important peers of each respondent. I estimate models to assess (bounds on) the magnitude of endogenous social interactions. For some types of behavior (e.g. truancy, smoking, pocket money, alcohol expenditures) endogenous social interactions within school classes are strong, for other behaviors they are moderate or unimportant. Within-gender interactions are generally stronger than interactions between boys and girls, with some intriguing exceptions. In the second part of the paper I discuss a number of theories that might help to understand the empirical patterns. Key concepts in the discussion are interdependent preferences, endogenous social norms, identity, and intergenerational interactions.

C. "Guns, Drugs and Juvenile Crime: Evidence from a Panel of Siblings and Twins," by H. Naci Mocan and Erdal Tekin (IZA Discussion Paper DP-932, November 2003, .pdf format, 53p.).


Using a nationally-representative panel data set of U.S. high school students (AddHealth data) that contains a relatively large sample of siblings and twins, the paper investigates the impacts of gun availability at home and individual drug use on robbery, burglary, theft and damaging property for juveniles. Using a variety of fixed-effects models that exploit variations over time and between siblings and twins, the results show that gun availability at home increases the propensity to commit crime by about two percentage points for juveniles but has no impact on damaging property. The results indicate that it is unlikely that gun availability is merely a measure of the unobserved home environment because gun availability does not influence other risky or bad behaviors of juveniles such as smoking, drinking and fighting, being expelled from school, lying, and having sex. No support is found for the hypothesis that gun availability decreases the propensity for being victimized. In fact, the results show that having access to guns increases the probability of being cut or stabbed by someone and of someone pulling a knife or gun on the juvenile. Estimates obtained from models that exploit variations over time and between siblings and twins indicate that drug use has a significant impact on the propensity to commit crime. We find that the median impact of cocaine use on the propensity to commit various types of crimes is 11 percentage points. The impact of using inhalants or other drugs is an increase in the propensity to commit crime by 7 and 6 percentage points, respectively.

Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattai (FEEM) [Milan, Venice, Genoa, Turin, Italy]:"A Biologist's View of Individual Cultural Identity for the Study of Cities," by Richard Pearce (Working Paper 77.03, December 2003, .pdf format, 17p.).


The behaviour of urban populations is compared with the systems directing behaviour in individuals. This is both a metaphor and a mechanistic parallel. The biological model draws upon recent developments in brain research and psychological and cultural anthropology. The development and operation of the personal value-system are seen as constituting Identity in an individual, and Culture in a community. A mechanism is proposed by which social attachments between individuals lead to the adoption of new values into the system. The ability to differentiate own group from other is seen as intrinsic and socially necessary, made peaceful by specific values and adversarial by others. Identity development is such a complex process that it cannot be predicted in detail, but explicated in retrospect. A model may be useful in understanding conflicts of values, and how some are modifiable and others not.

Click on "PDF" or "download" at the bottom of the abstract for full text.

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JOURNAL TABLES OF CONTENTS (check your library for availability):

INGENTA Tables of Contents: INGENTA provides fee based document delivery services for selected journals.

A. Point your browser to:

B. click on "browse by publication"
C. Click the "fax/ariel" radio button, type the Journal Name in the "by words in the title" search box and click "search".
D. View the table of contents for the issue noted.

American Sociological Review (Vol. 68, No. 5, 2003). Note: Full electronic text of this journal is available in the ProQuest Research Library. Check your library for the availability of this database and this issue.

Journal of Family Issues (Vol. 24, No. 8, 2003).

Latin American Research Review (Vol. 38, No. 3, 2003). Note: Full electronic text of this journal is available in the ProQuest Research Library and the EBSCO Host Academic Search Elite Database. Check your library for the availability of these databases and this issue.

Social Science Journal (Vol. 40, No. 4, 2003). Note: Full electronic text of this journal is available in the EBSCO Host Academic Search Elite Database. Check your library for the availability of this database and this issue.

Other Journals:

American Journal of Sociology (Vol. 109, No. 2, September 2003). Note: Full electronic text of this journal is available in the ProQuest Research Library. Check your library for the availability of this database and this issue.

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A. RAND Fellows in Population Studies and the Study of Aging: "The RAND Fellows in Population Studies and the Study of Aging program enables outstanding junior scholars in demographic and aging research to sharpen their analytic skills, learn to communicate research results effectively, and advance their research agendae. Housed within the Labor and Population Program, the program blends formal and informal training and extensive collaboration with distinguished researchers in a variety of disciplines. In a typical year, the program will accept one fellow per year in Population Studies and one fellow per year in the Study of Aging. Fellowships are for one year, renewable for a second. Each fellow receives a yearly stipend of $44,300 to $56,500, depending on qualifications." For more information see:

B. University of Washington Center for the Study of Demography and Ecology: "CSDE is seeking applicants for Assistant Professor at the University of Washington. We are aiming to add strength in the topical areas of population and environment, or population and health. Expertise in quantitative methods, including (but not limited to) complex multi-level modeling (computer simulation, agent-based modeling, spatio-temporal modeling, etc.) is highly desirable. The search will be conducted by an interdisciplinary committee, and the successful candidate will reside in one of CSDE's affiliate departments: Anthropology, Economics, Geography, Political Science, Sociology or Statistics." For more information see:

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Census Bureau: "Geographic Mobility: March 2001 to March 2002: Detailed Tables" (December 2003, Microsoft Excel, .pdf, and comma separated value [.csv] format). 34 sets of tables are included in this release.

Panel Study of Income Dynamics: On Dec. 4, 2003, the University of Michigan Institute for Social Research PSID issued information on 1999 and 2001 individual data.

Inter-University Consortium for Political and Social Research: ICPSR at the University of Michigan has recently released the following datasets, which may be of interest to demography researchers. Note: Some ICPSR studies are available only to ICPSR member institutions. To find out whether your organization is a member, and whether or not it supports ICPSR Direct downloading, see:

Natality Detail File, 2000: [United States] (#3799)

Census of Population and Housing, 2000 [United States]: Summary File 1 Supplement, States (#13566)

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WEB SITES: "This site allows organizations to electronically find and apply for competitive grant opportunities from all Federal grant-making agencies." One of the useful features of the site is that it allows users to subscribe to email notification of federal grant opportunities based on opportunity number, agencies & categories of funding opportunities, or selected interest & eligibility groups. For more information see:

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Jack Solock
Data Librarian--Center for Demography and Ecology
4470 Social Science
University of Wisconsin-Madison
Madison, WI 53706