Current Demographic Research Report #3, October 20, 2003.

CDERR (Current Demographic Research Reports) is a weekly email report produced by the Center for Demography and Ecology at the University of Wisconsin-Madison that helps researchers keep up to date with the latest developments in the field. This report will contain selected listings of new: reports, articles, bibliographies, working papers, tables of contents, conferences, data, and websites. For more information, including an archive of back issues and subscription information see:


Index to this issue:


Census Bureau Census 2000 Brief
National Center for Education Statistics Reports
Bureau of Labor Statistics Report
_Demographic Research_ Articles
Population Reference Bureau Article, Periodical
Pew Hispanic Center Report
Urban Institute Report
_Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report_ Article
Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health's Center for
Communication Programs Compendium


Princeton University Office of Population Research
University of Washington Center for the Study of Demography and Ecology




National Institutes of Health
W.K. Kellogg Scholars In Health Disparities Program


National Center for Education Statistics
Inter-University Consortium for Political and Social Research



Census Bureau Census 2000 Brief: "Marital Status, 2000," by Rose M. Kreider and Tavia Simmons (C2KBR-30, October 2003, .pdf format, 12p.). The
brief is linked to from a Census Bureau news release: "Bachelors Outnumbered, Census Bureau Reports" (Oct. 20, 2003).

Click on "Marital Status: 2000, a Census 2000 Brief" for full text.

National Center for Education Statistics Reports:

A. "Status and Trends in the Education of Blacks," by Kathryn Hoffman, Charmaine Llagas, and Thomas D. Snyder, NCES 2003034, September 2003, .pdf format, 182p.).


Status and Trends in the Education of Blacks draws on the many statistics published by NCES in a variety of reports and synthesizes these data in one compact volume. In addition to indicators drawn from existing government reports, some indicators were developed specifically for this report. The objective of this report is to make statistical information about the educational status of Blacks easily accessible to a variety of audiences.

B. "Postsecondary Institutions in the United States: Fall 2002 and Degrees and Other Awards Conferred: 2001-02," by Laura G. Knapp, et. al. (NCES 2004154, October 2003, .pdf format, 71p.).


This report presents information from the Fall 2002 Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS) web-based data collection. Data were requested from nearly 6,600 postsecondary institutions participating in Title IV federal student financial aid programs. The tables in this publication present counts of institutions by selected institutional characteristics including tuition, fees, and other costs. Tables also present data on the number of degrees and other formal awards conferred during the period July 1, 2001 through June 30, 2002 by Title IV postsecondary institutions.

Bureau of Labor Statistics Report: "Highlights of Women's Earnings in 2002" (BLS Report 972, September 2003, .pdf format, 37p.).

_Demographic Research_ Articles: Note: _DR_ is "a free, expedited, peer-reviewed journal of the population sciences published by the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research.

A. "A diminishing population whose every cohort more than replaces itself," by Robert Schoen and Stefan H. Jonsson (Vol. 9, Art. 6, October 2003, .pdf format, p. 112-118).


We observe that a dynamic population model can have period fertility that is always below replacement and cohort fertility that is always above replacement. We ask whether such a paradoxical population will get larger or smaller, and show that it must become smaller. Cohort replacement does not imply population replacement, and emphasizing fertility timing and cohort fertility ignores the issue of relative cohort size. The resolution of this apparent paradox reinforces the importance of the level of period fertility in demographic analysis.

B. "Employment status mobility from a life-cycle perspective: A sequence analysis of work-histories in the BHPS," by Fernando Munoz-Bullon and Miguel A. Malo (Vol. 9, Art. 7, October 2003, .pdf format, p. 120-162).

For both articles:

Click on "Enter".

Population Reference Bureau Article, Periodical:

A. "Reproductive Health Trends in Eastern Europe and Eurasia," by Lori Ashford (September 2003, HTML and .pdf format, 8p.).

B. _Population Bulletin_, Vol. 58, No. 3, September 2003, .pdf format, 45p.). This issue's article is: "Critical Links: Population, Health, and the Environment," by Roger-Mark De Souza, John S. Williams, and Frederick A.B. Meyerson.

Pew Hispanic Center Report: "The Rise of the Second Generation: Changing Patterns in Hispanic Population Growth," by Roberto Suro and Jeffrey S. Passel (October 2003, .pdf format, 9p.). "This Pew Hispanic Center report presents new population projections for the Latino population. Developed by Jeffrey S. Passel, a veteran demographer and principal research associate at the Population Studies Center of the Urban Institute, the projections identify important trends in the growth patterns of the Hispanic population."

More information on the Pew Hispanic Center:

Urban Institute Report: "What 'Extras' Do We Get with Extracurriculars: Technical Research Considerations," by Duncan Chaplin and Michael E. Puma (September 2003, .pdf format, 58p.).

_Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report_ Article: "Prevalence of IgG Antibody to SARS-Associated Coronavirus in Animal Traders --- Guangdong Province, China, 2003" (US Centers for Disease Control, Vol. 52, No. 41, Oct. 17, 2003, HTML and .pdf format, p. 986-987).



Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health's Center for Communication Programs Compendium: Info Health Pop. Reporter (Vol. 3, No. 42, Oct. 20, 2003). "The Johns Hopkins University Population Information Program delivers the reproductive health and family planning news you need. Each week our research staff prepares an electronic magazine loaded with links to key news stories, reports, and related developments around the globe."

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Princeton University Office of Population Research: "Do migrants degrade coastal environments? Migration, natural resources extraction and poverty in North Sulawesi, Indonesia," by Susan Cassels, Sara R. Curran, and Randall Kramer (WP 2003-05, 2003, .pdf format, 51p.).


Recent literature on migration and the environment has identified key mediating variables such as how migrants extract resources from the environment for their livelihoods, the rate and efficiency of extraction, and the social and economic context within which their extraction occurs. This paper tests these theories in a new ecological setting using data from coastal fishing villages in North Sulawesi, Indonesia. We do not find as many differences between migrant and non-migrant families regarding destructive fishing behavior, technology and investment as might have been expected from earlier theories. Instead, the context and timing of migrant assimilation seems to be more important in explaining apparent associations of migration and environmental impacts than simply migrants themselves. This finding fits well with recent literature in the field of international migration and immigrant incorporation.

University of Washington Center for the Study of Demography and Ecology: "Statistical Correction for Non-Parallelism in a Urinary Enzyme Immunoassay," by Kathleen A. O'Connor, Eleanor Brindle, Jane B. Shofer, Rebecca C. Miller, Nancy A. Klein, Michael R. Soules, Kenneth L. Campbell, Cori Mar, and Mark S.Handcock (WP 03-07, October 2003, .pdf format, 31p.).


Background: Our aim was to develop a statistical method to correct for non-parallelism in an estrone-3-glucuronide (E1G) enzyme immunoassay.

Methods: We validated a urinary enzyme-immunoassay for E1G. Specificity, detection limit, parallelism, recovery, and imprecision were determined. Paired urinary and serum concentrations were compared using 30 menstrual cycles from American women. Nonparallelism of serially diluted urine specimens with a calibration curve was demonstrated, and a linear mixed-effects analysis of 40 urine specimens was used to model the relationship of E1G concentration with urine volume and derive a statistical correction. The model was validated on an independent sample and applied to 30 menstrual cycles.

Results: Recovery averaged 101%, and the assay detection limit was 3.1 nmol/L. Intra-and interassay CVs were less than 14% for high and low urine controls. E1G across the menstrual cycle was highly correlated with serum estradiol (r=0.94). Non-parallelism produced decreasing E1G concentration with increasing urine volume (slope = -0.210, p<0.0001). At 50% inhibition, the assay had 100% cross-reactivity with E1G and 83% with estradiol-3-glucuronide (E2G). The dose response curve of the latter did not parallel that of E1G and is a possible cause of the nonparallelism. A statistical correction adjusting E1G concentration to a standardized urine volume produced parallelism in 24 independent specimens (slope = -0.043 .0.010), and improved the average CV of E1G concentration across dilutions from 19.5% 5.6% before correction to 10.3% 5.3% after correction.

Conclusions: A statistical method based on linear mixed effects modeling is an expedient approach for correction of non-parallelism.

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JOURNAL TABLES OF CONTENTS (check your library for availability):

INGENTA Tables of Contents: INGENTA provides fee based document delivery services for selected journals.

A. Point your browser to:

B. click on "browse by publication"
C. Click the "fax/ariel" radio button, type the Journal Name in the "by words in the title" search box and click "search".
D. View the table of contents for the issue noted.

AIDS (Vol. 17, No. 14, 2003).

Ethnicity and Disease (Vol. 13, No. 3, 2003).

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National Institutes of Health: "Infrastructure for Data Sharing and Archiving" (National Institute of Child Health and Development RFA-HD-03-032, Oct. 17, 2003). For more information see:

W.K. Kellogg Scholars In Health Disparities Program: "The Kellogg Scholars in Health Disparities Program is preparing a new generation of minority scientists for careers and leadership roles in health disparities research, health policy research and health policy and practice. The program is supporting a cadre of creative thinkers - largely from minority groups and with a passion for health equity and social justice - trained in behavioral and social science disciplines, epidemiology and related biomedical sciences and public policy." For more information about the program, including application information, see:

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National Center for Education Statistics: School District Demographic System (SDDS). "The NCES School District Demographic System (SDDS) version 2.0 is now available. The latest release of SDDS adds 3 new universes of Census Bureau School District Tabulation data. The new universes are: Children's Own, Households with Children and Parents with Children. This dataset is one of the largest special tabulations developed from the 2000 census and includes more than one billion demographic estimates. The tabulation provides more than 100,000 unique demographic characteristics per school district. The tabulation creates one of the largest, most current sources of children's demographics available from the U.S. Census Bureau."

Click on "Data Download".

Inter-University Consortium for Political and Social Research: ICPSR (University of Michigan) has recently released the following datasets, which may be of interest to demographic researchers. Note: Some ICPSR studies are available only to ICPSR member institutions. To find out whether your organization is a member, and whether or not it supports ICPSR Direct downloading, see:

Current Population Survey, May 2001: Work Schedules and Work at Home Supplement (#3663)

Current Population Survey, September 2001: Computer and Internet Use Supplement (#3669)

National Hospital Ambulatory Medical Care Survey, 2001 (#3813)

Jack Solock
Data Librarian--Center for Demography and Ecology
4470 Social Science
University of Wisconsin-Madison
Madison, WI 53706