Current Demographic Research Report #30, May 3, 2004.

CDERR (Current Demographic Research Reports) is a weekly email report produced by the Center for Demography and Ecology at the University of Wisconsin-Madison that helps researchers keep up to date with the latest developments in the field. This report will contain selected listings of new: reports, articles, bibliographies, working papers, tables of contents, conferences, data, and websites. For more information, including an archive of back issues and subscription information see:


Index to this issue:


Centers for Disease Control Articles, Summary of Notifiable Diseases
General Accounting Office Report
National Academies Press Monograph
World Health Organization Periodical, News Release
National Center for Education Statistics Report
National Science Foundation Reports
Bureau of Labor Statistics News Release
United Nations Population Division Wall Chart
_Lancet_ Article, Commentary
Australian Institute of Health and Welfare Compendium
Urban Institute Reports
Population Reference Bureau Reports
Allen Guttmacher Institute Periodical
Partners for Health Reformplus (PHRplus) HIV/AIDS Bibliography
Indonesia Family Life Survey Bibliography Update
Info Health Pop. Reporter


Rand Corporation Labor and Population Program
University of Michigan Population Studies Center
University of Washington Center for the Study of Demography and Ecology
Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research
Bureau of Labor Statistics
Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)
National Center for Social and Economic Modelling


Other Journals


Association for Survey Computing Call for Papers


US House Judiciary Committee Hearing Publication


Census Bureau
Inter-University Consortium for Political and Social Research
Luxembourg Income Study



Centers for Disease Control Articles, Summary of Notifiable Diseases:

A. "Increases in Fluoroquinolone-Resistant Neisseria gonorrhoeae Among Men Who Have Sex with Men --- United States, 2003, and Revised Recommendations for Gonorrhea Treatment, 2004 (_Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report_, Vol. 53, No. 16, HTML and .pdf format, p. 335-338).


B. "Preliminary FoodNet Data on the Incidence of Infection with Pathogens Transmitted Commonly Through Food --- Selected Sites, United States, 2003" (_Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report_, Vol. 53, No. 16, HTML and .pdf format, p. 338-343).


.pdf for both articles:

C: "Summary of Notifiable Diseases--United States, 2002" (_Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report_, Vol. 51, No. 53, April 2004, .pdf format, 84p.).



General Accounting Office Report: "Emerging Infectious Diseases: Asian SARS Outbreak Challenged International and National Responses" (GAO-04-430, March 2004, .pdf format, 67p.).

Note: This is a temporary addresse. GAO reports are always available at:

National Academies Press Monograph: "Learning from SARS: Preparing for the Next Disease Outbreak -- Workshop Summary," edited by Stacey Knobler, Adel Mahmoud, Stanley Lemon, Alison Mack, Laura Sivitz, and Katherine Oberholtzer (Institute of Medicine, 2004, OpenBook and .pdf format, 359p.). Note: Print copy purchasing is available at the site.

World Health Organization Periodical, News Release:

A. _Bulletin of the World Health Organization_ (Vol. 82, No. 5, May 2004, .pdf format).

B. "Measles deaths drop dramatically as vaccine reaches world's poorest children: Global goal of halving measles deaths can be achieved" (Apr. 27, 2004).

National Center for Education Statistics Report: "NAEP (National Assessment of Educational Progress) 2000 High School Transcript Study.""The NAEP High School Transcript Study (HSTS), a program of NCES, periodically surveys the curricula being offered in our nation's high schools and the course-taking patterns of high school students through a collection of transcripts. The 2000 transcript study was conducted from May through October of 2000 after the administration of NAEP. Transcripts were collected for 12th-grade students who graduated high school by the end of the collection period. Most students also participated in the NAEP assessments earlier that same year."

National Science Foundation Reports:

A. "Federal Obligations for Research by Agency and Detailed Field of Science and Engineering: Fiscal Years 1970-2002" (NSF-04-313, April 2004, .pdf and Microsoft Excel format, 200p.). Note: The detailed Excel tables can be accessed via the HTML link.

B. "Federal Obligations for Research to Universities and Colleges by Agency and Detailed Field of Science and Engineering: Fiscal Years 1973-2002" (NSF-04-314, April 2004, .pdf and Microsoft Excel format, 113p.). Note: The detailed Excel tables can be accessed via the HTML link.

C. "Doctoral Scientists and Engineers: 2001 Profile Tables" (NSF-04-312, April 2004, .pdf and Microsoft Excel format, 91p.). Note: The detailed Excel tables can be accessed via the HTML link.

Bureau of Labor Statistics News Release: "College Enrollment and Work Activity of High School Graduates: 2003" (Apr. 27, 2004, HTML and .pdf format, 5p.).

United Nations Population Division Wall Chart: "World Contraceptive Use 2003" (April 2004, .pdf and Microsoft Excel format).

_Lancet_ Article, Commentary: Note: _Lancet_ requires free registration before providing articles.

A. "Health-care system frailties and public health control of communicable disease on the European Union's new eastern border," by Richard J Coker, Rifat A. Atun, and Martin McKee (_Lancet_, Vol. 363, No. 9418, Apr. 24, 2004, HTML and .pdf format, p. 1389-92).



B. "Communicable disease surveillance and management in a globalised world," by David N. Durrheim and Rick Speare (_Lancet_ Commentary, Vol. 363, No. 9418, Apr. 24, 2004, HTML and .pdf format, p. 1339-40).



Australian Institute of Health and Welfare Compendium: "Mental Health Services in Australia 2001-02" (Mental Health Series No. 5, 2004, .pdf format, 282p.). "Mental Health Services in Australia 2001-02 describes the characteristics and activity of Australia's mental health services including ambulatory and residential mental health-related care provided by hospitals, community-based services, general practitioners, private psychiatrists and some disability support services. Information on the broad trends in mental health care is presented in an easy-to-use summary. Detailed statistics show the hospital care of patients admitted with a mental health-related diagnosis, the services, beds, staffing and expenditure in psychiatric hospitals and community-based services, and mental health-related medications prescribed by general practitioners and private psychiatrists. A special theme chapter has been included for the first time, presenting an overview of the available data on the mental health care of people with depression."

Urban Institute Reports:

A. "The New Landscape of Imprisonment: Mapping America's Prison Expansion," by Sarah Lawrence and Jeremy Travis" (April 2004, .pdf format, 52p.).

UI News Release: "Prison Construction Boom Reaches 3 in 10 Counties" (Apr. 29, 2004).

B. "Children in Low-Income Families Are Less Likely to Be in Center-Based Child Care" (April 2004, HTML and .pdf format 1p.).

C. "Nearly 3 Out of 4 Young Children with Employed Mothers are Regularly in Child Care" (April 2004, HTML and .pdf format, 1p.).

D. "Nearly 2 Out of 5 Welfare Recipients Lack Knowledge of When Their Benefits End" (April 2004, HTML and .pdf format, 1p.).

E. "Many Working Families with Children Rely on Food Pantries" (April 2004, HTML and .pdf format, 1p.).

F. "Poverty Gap Between Whites, Blacks, Hispanics Narrows between 1996 and 2001" (April 2004, .pdf format, 1p.).

G. "Two-Thirds of Uninsured Children in Fair or Poor Health Are Hispanic" (April 2004, .pdf format, 1p.).

H. "Summer Child Care Arrangements" (April 2004, HTML and .pdf format, 2p.).

Population Reference Bureau Reports:

A. "Making Motherhood Safer in Egypt," by Karima Khalil and Farzaneh Roudi-Fahimi (April 2004, .pdf format, 8p.).

B. "Urbanization: An Environmental Force to Be Reckoned With," by Barbara Boyle Torrey (April 2004).

C. "Slow Going for the Population in Rural America," by Mark Mather and Jean D'Amico (April 2004).

D. "One in Five Children in Rural America Lives in Poverty," by Mark Mather and William O'Hare (Apr. 2004).

E. "The Toll on Rural Commuters," by Lori Nitschke (April 2004).

F. "Housing and Commuting Patterns in Appalachia," by Mark Mather (January 2004, .pdf format, 45p.).

G. "U.S. Growing Bigger, Older, and More Diverse," by Paola Scommegna (April 2004).,_Older,_and_More_Diverse.htm

Allen Guttmacher Institute Periodical: _Perspectives on Sexual and Reproductive Health_ (Vol. 36, No. 2, March/April 2004, HTML and .pdf format).

Partners for Health Reformplus (PHRplus) HIV/AIDS Bibliography: "Health Systems Strengthening and HIV/AIDS: Annotated Bibliography and Resources," by Lena Kolyada (March 2004, .pdf format, 75p.). "This bibliography was prepared in an effort to provide policymakers, technical personnel, and other stakeholders, comprehensive information on the costs of interventions and the impact of HIV/AIDS on health systems. The documents described focus on those aspects of the pandemic most related to the work of the project issues of economic impact, financing and resource allocation, costing, health system strengthening, scaling up antiretroviral therapy, surveillance systems, and program monitoring and evaluation."

More information on PHRplus:

Indonesia Family Life Survey Bibliography Update: The IFLS at the Rand Corporation has recently updated its bibliography of "papers and dissertations with the IFLS data." The updated items are:

Berman E, Stepanyan A. 2003. "How Many Radical Islamists? Indirect Evidence from Five Countries." mimeo.

Cameron, L. and C. Worswick 2003. "The Labor Market as a Smoothing Device: Labor Supply Responses to Crop Loss", Review of Development Economics,7(2), 327-341.

Cameron, L. and D. Cobb-Clark 2002. "Old-Age Labour Supply in the Developing World", pp1-8. Applied Economics Letters, August 2002; 9(10): 649-52.

Cameron L, Worswick C. 2001. "Education Expenditure Responses to Crop Loss in Indonesia: A Gender Bias." Economic Development and Cultural Change 49(2):351.

Cameron L. 2000. "The Residency Decision of Elderly Indonesians." Demography. 37(1).

Cameron, L. and D. Cobb-Clark 2001. "Old-Age Support in Developing Countries: Labor Supply, Intergenerational Transfers and Living Arrangements", IZA Working Paper No.289, Institute for the Study of Labor, Bonn, Germany.

Cameron L, Cobb-Clark D. 2001. "Old Age Support in Developing Countries: Labor Supply, Intergenerational Transfers and Living Arrangements". Working Paper, Department of Economics, University of Melbourne, Australia.
Direct Address:

Fields, Gary, Paul Cichello, Samuel Freije and Marta Menendez, "For richer or for poorer? Evidence from Indonesia, South Africa, Spain and Venezuela", Journal of Economic Inequality, Vol 1 Issue 1.

Fields, Gary, Paul Cichello, Samuel Freije and Marta Menendez,, "Household Income Dynamics: A four country story." Journal of Development Studies, Vol 40 no. 2.

Fields, Gary, Paul Cichello, Samuel Freije and Marta Menendez,, "Escaping from poverty: Household Income Dynamics in Indonesia, South Africa, Spain and Venezuela", in "Pathways out of Poverty: Private Firms and Economic Mobility in Developing Countries", Kluwer Academic Publishers.

Frankenberg E, Thomas D. 2000. "Women's Health and Pregnancy Outcomes: Does Access to Services Make a Difference?" DRU-2329-NIH. Santa Monica, CA: RAND.

Newhouse D, Beegle K. 2004. "The Effect of School Type on Academic Achievement: Evidence from Indonesia"

Ogawa K. 1998. "Education Policies and Economic Efficiency: The Case of Indonesia." Dissertation, New York, NY: Columbia University.

Strauss J, Beegle K, Dwiyanto A, Herawati Y, Pattinasarany D, Satriawan E, Sikoki B, Sukamdi, Witoelar F. 2004. Indonesian Living Standards: Before and After the Financial Crisis. Rand Corporation, USA and Institute of Southeast Asian Studies.

Strauss J, Thomas D. 1998. "Health, Nutrition and Economic Development." Journal of Economic Literature 36:737-782. (Also available as: Santa Monica, CA: RP-722.

Thomas D, Beegle K, Frankenberg E, Sikoki B, Strauss J, Teruel G. 2004."Education in a Crisis." Journal of Development Economics, 74(1): 53-85.

For more information see:

Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health's Center for Communication Programs Compendium: Info Health Pop. Reporter (Vol. 4, No. 18, May 3, 2004). "The Johns Hopkins University Population Information Program delivers the reproductive health and family planning news you need. Each week our research staff prepares an electronic magazine loaded with links to key news stories, reports, and related developments around the globe."

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Rand Corporation Labor and Population Program: "International Comparisons of Work Disability," by James Banks, Arie Kapteyn, James P. Smith, and Arthur van Soest (WR-155, April 2004, .pdf format, 42p.).


Self-reported work disability is analyzed in the US, the UK and the Netherlands. Different wordings of the questions lead to different work disability rates. But even if identical questions are asked, crosscountry differences remain substantial. Respondent evaluations of work limitations of hypothetical persons described in vignettes are used to identify the extent to which differences in self-reports between countries or socio-economic groups are due to systematic variation in the response scales. Results suggest that more than half of the difference between the rates of self-reported work disability in the US and the Netherlands can be explained by response scale differences. A similar methodology is used to analyze the reporting bias that arises if respondents justify being on disability benefits by overstating their work limiting disabilities.

University of Michigan Population Studies Center: "Cohort Crowding: How Resources Affect Collegiate Attainment," by John Bound and Sarah Turner (PSC Research Report 04-557, April 2004, .pdf format, 44p.).


Analyses of college attainment typically focus on factors affecting enrollment demand, including the financial attractiveness of a college education and the availability of financial aid, while implicitly assuming that resources available per student on the supply side of the market are elastically supplied. The higher education market in the United States is dominated by public and non-profit production, and colleges and universities receive considerable subsidies from state, federal, and private sources. Because consumers pay only a fraction of the cost of production, changes in demand are unlikely to be accommodated fully by colleges and universities without commensurate increases in non-tuition revenue. For this reason, public investment in higher education plays a crucial role in determining the degrees produced and the supply of college-educated workers to the labor market. Using data covering the last half of the twentieth century, we find strong evidence that large cohorts within states have relatively low undergraduate degree attainment, reflecting less than perfect elasticity of supply in the higher education market. That large cohorts receive lower public subsidies per student in higher education explains this result, indicating that resources have large effects on degree production. Our results suggest that rising cohort size and lower state expenditures foreseeable in the next decade are likely to have significant negative effects on the supply of college-educated workers in the labor market.

University of Washington Center for the Study of Demography and Ecology:"Housing Costs and the Geography of Family Migration Outcomes," by Suzanne Davies Withers and William A.V. Clark (Working Paper 04-05, 2004, .pdf format, 49p.).


This paper takes a geographic approach towards assessing the returns to family migration by addressing explicitly the impacts of differences in the cost of housing between the place of origin and place of destination for family migrants. While numerous studies have examined differences in labor-force participation and wages subsequent to migration, particularly on the part of wives, few studies have considered the local geographic context of these events. This study examines the "adjusted" outcomes from migration for husbands, wives, and families in the United States in the context of local housing costs. Our findings challenge the assumption of simple economic gains and instead indicate that who gains and who loses from family migration is quite complex. The geography of family migration is critical in determining gains and losses and is interrelated with moves in and out of the labor market on the part of wives. Our research indicates that wives who leave the labor market after a move are very likely to have moved to a more affordable housing market. Conversely, wives enter the labor market when the move is to a more expensive housing market. For this group, wives earnings go a long way towards minimizing the impact on overall family earnings. This paper provides an important contribution to understanding family migration by positioning the analysis of migration outcomes within the context of labor markets and local housing market costs.

Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research [Rostock, Germany]:

A. "Family Formation in Times of Social and Economic Change: An Analysis of the 1971 East German Cohort," by Johannes Huinink and Michaela Kreyenfeld (WP-2004-013, April 2004, .pdf format, 35p.).


The birth cohort 1971 entered transition to adulthood at the onset of societal transformation in East Germany. Their marriage and fertility behavior therefore was expected to be severely affected by the upheavals following unification. And indeed, compared to their predecessors, there is a drastic increase in the age at marriage, age at first birth and a decline in second birth risks. In this paper, we adopt a life course perspective to investigate the factors that have contributed to the postponement of family formation after unification. The empirical analysis suggests that highly educated women in particular are postponing fertility. Women with a relatively low education, by contrast, are accelerating family formation. Contrary to standard views on East German fertility, we do not find evidence for the hypothesis that unemployment generally lead to a postponement of first birth.

B. "The Contextual Database of the Generations and Gender Program: Overview, Conceptual Framework and the Link to the Generations and Gender Survey," by Martin Spielauer (WP-2004-014, April 2004, .pdf format, 26p.). Abstract:

This paper follows two aims. First it intends to give an overview of the contextual database of the Generations and Gender Program and how it is linked to the Generations and Gender Survey. Secondly, it provides a documentation of the approaches taken towards the conceptual definition and construction of the database. The document consists of two parts. The first gives a brief description of the underlying ideas of the database and the approach taken in order to develop its conceptual framework and construct the database. The second part is a note on the link between the Generations and Gender Survey and the contextual database. Starting from the GGS questionnaire, the main interfaces between micro data and contextual domains are investigated.

Bureau of Labor Statistics: "What Do Male Nonworkers Do?" by Jay Stewart (WP 371, April 2004, .pdf format, 45p.).


Although male nonworkers have become a larger fraction of the population since the late 1960s, labor economists know very little about them. Using data from several sources--the March CPS, the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth, and the 1992-94 University of Maryland Time Diary Study--this paper fills that void. The picture that emerges is that there is a small cadre of marginal workers who often do not work for periods of a year or more and tend to work relatively few weeks in the years that they do work.The vast majority of nonworking men (men who do not work at all during the year) receive unearned income from at least one source, and the amount of unearned income received varies significantly by reason for not working. Family members provide an important alternative source of support for nonworking men who have little or no unearned income of their own. For the most part, these nonworking men are not substituting nonmarket work for market work. Most of the time that is freed up by not working is spent in leisure activities and sleep.

Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) [Bonn, Germany]: "Child Care Subsidy Receipt, Employment, and Child Care Choices of Single Mothers," by Erdal Tekin (Discussion Paper 1121, April 2004, .pdf format, 18p.).


This paper examines the impact of actual subsidy receipt of single mothers on their joint employment and child care mode decisions in the post-welfare reform environment, which places a high priority on parental choice with the quality and type of care chosen. Results indicate that single mothers are highly responsive to child care subsidies by increasing their employment while moving from parental and relative care to center care in the process.

National Center for Social and Economic Modelling [University of Canberra, Australia]: "The Dynamics of Child Poverty in Australia," by Annie Abello and Ann Harding (Discussion Paper DP60, March 2004, .pdf format, 56p.).


This paper provides new information about how family incomes and the state of poverty of Australian households with children changed from year to year in the mid-1990s. The study is based on data from the Survey of Employment and Unemployment Patterns, a longitudinal survey that followed a group of respondents between September 1994 and September 1997. The paper defines poverty according to different thresholds and the child poverty rates that result from these thresholds. The poverty rates were calculated using gross income and are not directly comparable with the usual poverty rates based on disposable income. The paper begins with a description of the extent and pattern of income dynamics among families with children. This is followed by analyses of the family characteristics of children persistently in poverty, as well as children moving into and out of poverty based on four poverty thresholds and using variables on both current and annual income. The study also investigates whether there are differences between the outcomes for all dependent children and young children (those less than 15 years old).

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JOURNAL TABLES OF CONTENTS (check your library for availability):

INGENTA Tables of Contents: INGENTA provides fee based document delivery services for selected journals.

A. Point your browser to:

B. click on "browse by publication"
C. Click the "fax/ariel" radio button, type the Journal Name in the "by words in the title" search box and click "search".
D. View the table of contents for the issue noted.

Economic Development and Cultural Change (Vol. 52, No. 2, 2004). Note: Full electronic text of this journal is available in EBSCO Host Academic Search Elite Database and the ProQuest Research Library. Check your library for the availability of these databases and this issue.

Other Journals:

American Journal of Public Health (Vol. 94, No. 5, May 2004). Note: Full electronic text of this journal is available in EBSCO Host Academic Search Elite Database and the ProQuest Research Library. Check your library for the availability of these databases and this issue.

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Association for Survey Computing Call for Papers: The Association for Survey Computing is holding a conference on "Mobile Computing" Sep. 30, 2004 in London, UK. "We are inviting contributions from organisations that are either developing or exploiting new technology in the field of mobile data collection. The platforms being used include PCs, PDAs, tablets, mobile telephones; running a variety of operating systems and using both off-the-shelf and bespoke software." For more information see:

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US House Judiciary Committee Hearing Publication: "Prospects For American Workers: Immigration's Impact," a hearing held Oct. 30, 2003 (House Serial Publication No. 60, .pdf format, 158p.).

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Census Bureau:

A. The Bureau has updated it's International Data Base (IDB) as of April 30, 2004). The IDB has expanded projections of age 100+ for selected countries and has added new data for 11 countries.

B. "The U.S. Census Bureau [has] issued revised estimates for alternative income and poverty measures for 2001 and 2002. The original numbers were published in Income in the United States: 2002 and Poverty in the United States: 2002, released last Sept. 26." For more information, including links to revised tabulations, see:

Inter-University Consortium for Political and Social Research: ICPSR at the University of Michigan has recently released the following datasets, which may be of interest to demography researchers. Note: Some ICPSR studies are available only to ICPSR member institutions. To find out whether your organization is a member, and whether or not it supports ICPSR Direct downloading, see:

Current Population Survey, September 2000: Food Security Supplement (#3908).

Luxembourg Income Study: LIS has announced the availability of data for Israel 2001. For more information on Israel data:

More information on LIS data, including procedures for data access:

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Jack Solock
Data Librarian--Center for Demography and Ecology
4470 Social Science
University of Wisconsin-Madison
Madison, WI 53706