Current Demographic Research Report #39, July 6, 2004.

CDERR (Current Demographic Research Reports) is a weekly email report produced by the Center for Demography and Ecology at the University of Wisconsin-Madison that helps researchers keep up to date with the latest developments in the field. This report will contain selected listings of new: reports, articles, bibliographies, working papers, tables of contents, conferences, data, and websites. For more information, including an archive of back issues and subscription information see:


Index to this issue:


Census Bureau Reports, Brief, Facts for Features
National Center for Health Statistics Report
Centers for Disease Control Reports
National Institute of Child Health and Human Development News Release
Bureau of Labor Statistics Report, Periodical
Medical Expenditure Panel Survey Reports
National Science Foundation InfoBriefs
National Academies Press Monograph
Australian Department of Health and Aging Report
Australian Institute of Health and Welfare Report
Carolina Population Center MEASURE Technical Report
Population Reference Bureau Periodical, Articles
Roper Center Public Opinion Matters
Urban Institute Report
Kaiser Family Foundation HIV/AIDS Timeline
Allen Guttmacher Institute Reports, Periodical
Info Health Pop. Reporter


Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research
National Bureau of Economic Research
International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis
Institute for the Study of Labor


Other Journals


Population Association of Pakistan
_American Journal of Public Health_/Kaiser Family Foundation Call for Papers


House Committee on International Relations Hearing Publication


Census Bureau
National Center for Health Statistics
National Longitudinal Study
National Center for Education Statistics
Department of Housing and Urban Development/Census Bureau
Inter-University Consortium for Political and Social Research
Medical Expenditure Panel Survey Instruments
Luxembourg Income Study
UK Data Archive


Harvard School of Public Health
Kaiser Family Foundation



Census Bureau Reports, Brief, Facts for Features:

A. "Educational Attainment in the United States: 2003," by Nicole Stoops (Current Population Reports P20-550, June 2004, .pdf format, 10p.). The report is linked to from a Census Bureau news release: "High School Graduation Rates Reach All-Time High; Non-Hispanic White and Black Graduates at Record Levels" (CB04-104, Jun. 29, 2004).

Click on "Educational Attainment in the United States: 2003" for link to full text. Click on "Detailed tables" for link to numerous detailed tables related to the report (Microsoft Excel, .pdf, and comma separated values [.csv] format).

B. "Comparing Quality Measures: Comparing the American Community Survey's Three-year Averages and Census 2000's Long Form Sample Estimates," by Katie M. Bench (Meeting 21st Century Demographic Data Needs-Implementing the American Community Survey Report No. 7, June 2004, .pdf format, 70p.).

C. "Comparison of the ACS 3-year Average and the Census 2000 Sample for a Sample of Counties and Tracts," by Gregg J. Diffendal, Rita Jo Petroni, and, Andre L. Williams (Meeting 21st Century Demographic Data Needs-Implementing the American Community Survey Report No. 8, June 2004, .pdf format, 158p.).

D. "Comparing Social Characteristics with Census 2000," by David A. Raglin, Joan K. Broadwater, Deborah H. Griffin, Theresa F. Leslie, and Susan P. Love (Meeting 21st Century Demographic Data Needs-Implementing the American Community Survey Report No. 9, June 2004, .pdf format, 92p.).

(B), (C), and (D) above can all be accessed from:

E. "Ancestry 2000," by Angela Brittingham and G. Patricia de la Cruz (Census 2000 Brief, C2KBR-35, June 2004, .pdf format, 10p.). The report is linked to from a Census Bureau news release: "German Still Most Frequently Reported Ancestry" (CB04-107, Jun. 30, 2004).

Click on "Ancestry: 2000" for link to full text.

F. Civil Rights Act of 1964: 40th Anniversary" (CB04-FFSE09-02, Jun. 30, 2004).

National Center for Health Statistics Report: "Health Insurance Coverage: Estimates from the National Health Interview Survey, 2003," by Robin A. Cohen, and Zakia Coriaty-Nelson (June 2004, .pdf format, 13p.). The report is linked to from a NCHS news release: "More Children Than Ever Had Health Insurance in 2003, But Coverage For Working-Age Adults Declined" (Jun. 30, 2004).

Click on "View/download PDF" for full text.

Centers for Disease Control Reports:

A. "Cases of HIV Infection and AIDS in the United States, by Race/Ethnicity, 1998-2002" (HIV/AIDS Surveillance Supplemental Report, Vol. 10, No. 1, 2004, HTML and .pdf format, 38p.).

Click on "Complete document in PDF" at the bottom of the page for link to .pdf full text.

B. "Therapeutic Foster Care for the Prevention of Violence: A Report on Recommendations of the Task Force on Community Preventive Services," by Robert A. Hahn, Jessica Lowy, Oleg Bilukha, Susan Snyder, Peter Briss, Alex Crosby, Mindy T. Fullilove, Farris Tuma, Eve K. Moscicki, Akiva Liberman, Amanda Schofield, and Phaedra S. Corso (_Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report_ Recommendations and Reports, Vol. 53(RR10), Jul. 2, 2004, HTML and .pdf format, 8p.).



C. "Surveillance for Disparities in Maternal Health-Related Behaviors --- Selected States, Pregnancy Risk Assessment Monitoring System (PRAMS), 2000--2001," by Tanya M. Phares, Brian Morrow, Amy Lansky, Wanda D. Barfield, Cheryl B. Prince, Kristen S. Marchi, Paula A. Braveman, Letitia M. Williams, and Brooke Kinniburgh (_Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report_ Surveillance Summaries Vol. 53(SS04), July 2004, HTML and .pdf format, 13p.).



National Institute of Child Health and Human Development News Release:"High School Graduates from Immigrant Families Just As Likely To Succeed In College As American-Born Peers" (Jul. 1, 2004).

Bureau of Labor Statistics Report, Periodical:

A. "Employment from the BLS household and payroll surveys: summary of recent trends" (July 2004, .pdf format, 15p.).

B. _Monthly Labor Review_ (Vol. 127, No. 6, June 2004, .pdf format).

Note: this is a temporary address. When the next _MLR_ is released, this one, along with all others back to 1987, will be available at:

C. _Compensation and Working Conditions Online_. The latest article was added Jun. 30, 2004.

Medical Expenditure Panel Survey Reports:

A. "Health Insurance Status of Children in America, 1996-2003: Estimates for the U.S. Population under Age 18," by Jeffrey A. Rhoades and Joel W. Cohen (US Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality, MEPS Statistical Brief #44, July 2004, HTML and .pdf format, 6p.).

B. "The Uninsured in America, 1996-2003: Estimates for the U.S. Population under Age 65," by Jeffrey A. Rhoades and Joel W. Cohen (US Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality, MEPS Statistical Brief #45, July 2004, HTML and .pdf format, 5p.).

National Science Foundation InfoBriefs:

A. "Graduate Enrollment in Science and Engineering Fields Reaches New Peak; First-Time Enrollment of Foreign Students Declines," by Lori Thurgood (NSF 04-326, June 2004, HTML and .pdf format, 7p., with tables in Microsoft Excel format).

B. "Emigration of U.S.-Born S&E Doctorate Recipients," by Joan S. Burrelli (NSF 04-327, June 2004, HTML and .pdf format, 4p. with tables in Microsoft Excel format).

National Academies Press Monograph: _Measuring Racial Discrimination_, edited by Rebecca M. Blank, Marilyn Dabady, and Constance F. Citro, National Research Council, 2004, OpenBook format, 336p.). Note: Ordering information for a print copy is available at the site.

World Health Organization Periodical, News Release: _Bulletin of the World Health Organization_ (Vol. 82, No. 7, July 2004, .pdf format).

"Investigation into China's recent SARS outbreak yields important lessons for global public health" (Jul. 2, 2004).

Australian Department of Health and Aging Report: "The State of Our Public Hospitals, June 2004 Report" (June 2004, .pdf format, 52p.).

Australian Institute of Health and Welfare Report: "Residential Aged Care in Australia 2002-03: A Statistical Overview" (Aged Care Statistics Series No. 18, June 2004, .pdf format, 90p.). "This report presents statistics on the Australian residential aged care system over the period 1 July 2002 to 30 June 2003. It is the sixth such report in the Aged Care Statistics Series produced by the Australian Institute of Health and Welfare, under an agreement with the Australian Department of Health and Ageing. The report contains sections on population and residential aged care service capacity; residents and their characteristics; admissions and separations; characteristics of newly admitted residents; and resident dependency."

Carolina Population Center MEASURE (Monitoring and Evaluation to Assess and Use Results) Technical Report: "PLACE in Jamaica: Monitoring AIDS Prevention at the Parish Level, St. James, 2003" (July 2004, .pdf format, 96p.).

Population Reference Bureau Periodical, Articles:

A. _Population Bulletin_ (Vol. 59, No. 2, June 2004, .pdf format). This issues article is "China's Population: New Trends and Challenges," by Nancy E. Riley.

B. "Population Growth and Deforestation: A Critical and Complex Relationship," by Frederick A.B. Meyerson (June 2004).

C. "Conflict Chips Away at Living Conditions in Sudan," by Yvette Collymore (June 2004).

Roper Center [University of Connecticut] Public Opinion Matters: The latest Public Opinion Matters is about "Public Opinion on Sports." Included are relevant poll results, as well as links to pertinent articles.;start=HS_special_topics?Topic=sports

Urban Institute Report: "Recent Trends in Food Stamp Participation among Poor Families with Children," by Sheila R. Zedlewski (Assessing the New Federalism Discussion Paper No. 04-03, June 2004, .pdf format, 32p.).

Kaiser Family Foundation HIV/AIDS Timeline: "The Global HIV/AIDS Epidemic: A Timeline of Key Milestones." "This new, interactive web-based timeline was designed to serve as an ongoing reference tool for many of the political, scientific, cultural, and community events that have occurred over the history of the epidemic. The timeline begins with 1981 and includes key events and noteworthy activities through today. It highlights such milestones as the discovery of HIV, the establishment of the first community-based AIDS service provider in the U.S., the establishment of UNAIDS, and the history of the International AIDS Conferences."

Allen Guttmacher Institute Reports, Periodical:

A. "Risk and Protection: Youth and HIV/AIDS in Sub-Saharan Africa," by Akinrinola Bankole, Susheela Singh, Vanessa Woog, and Deirdre Wulf (2004, .pdf format, 36p.). "Despite lacking essential information and services, many youth in Sub-Saharan Africa are trying to protect themselves from HIV/AIDS, sexually transmitted infections (STIs), and unplanned pregnancies, a new report from The Alan Guttmacher Institute shows. Still, half of new HIV infections in 2003 occurred among young people aged 15-24. Risk and Protection: 'Youth and HIV/AIDS in Sub-Saharan Africa' provides a regional overview-with information for 24 countries-of adolescents' knowledge of HIV/AIDS and behaviors that put them at risk or protect them from infection. It also outlines the key areas where policies and programs must be improved to provide young people with greater support."

B. "Contraception Counts" (2004, HTML and .pdf format).

C. _Perspectives on Sexual and Reproductive Health_ (Vol. 36, No. 3, May/June 2004, HTML and .pdf format).

Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health's Center for Communication Programs Compendium: Info Health Pop. Reporter (Vol. 4, No. 27, Jul. 6, 2004). "The Johns Hopkins University Population Information Program delivers the reproductive health and family planning news you need. Each week our research staff prepares an electronic magazine loaded with links to key news stories, reports, and related developments around the globe."

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Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research: "Sample size and statistical significance of hazard regression parameters. An exploration by means of Monte Carlo simulation of four transition models based on Hungarian GGS data," by Martin Spielauer and Rene Houle (WP 2004-20, June 2004, .pdf format, 22p.).


In this paper, we explore the relation between sample sizes of female respondents aged 18-44 and the statistical significance of parameter estimates in four piecewise constant proportional hazard regression models by means of microsimulation. The underlying models for first marriage, first birth, second birth, and first divorce are estimated from Hungarian GGS data and interpreted and used as typical event-history models for the analysis of GGS data in general. The models are estimated from the full biographies as well as from three- and six-year inter-panel biographies of the simulated samples. The simulation results indicate that there is great sensibility of the parameters that reach statistical significance to the sample size precisely in the sample range of the GGS. This means that any reduction or increase in the sample size will notably affect the statistical analysis of the data. Marginal gains in terms of the number of significant parameters are especially high up to 3.000 respondents when applying rather modest thresholds of significance. For higher thresholds, marginal gains remain steep for sample sizes up to 5.000 respondents. When analyzing inter-panel histories, especially for a single three-year interval, the likelihood that parameter estimates are significant is very moderate. For 6-year inter-panel histories, we get better results, at least for a sample size of at least 3.000. When reducing the sample size to below 3.000, the number of significant results for inter-panel histories deteriorates rapidly.

National Bureau of Economic Research: "Breakfast of Champions? The School Breakfast Program and the Nutrition of Children and Families," by Jayanta Bhattacharya, Janet Currie, and Steven Haider (w10608, July 2004, .pdf format, 36p.).


We use the National Health and Nutritional Examination Survey (NHANES) III to examine the effect of the availability of the school breakfast program (SBP). Our work builds on previous research in four ways: First, we develop a transparent difference-in-differences strategy to account for unobserved differences between students with access to SBP and those without. Second, we examine serum measures of nutrient in addition to intakes based on dietary recall data. Third, we ask whether the SBP improves the diet by increasing/or decreasing the intake of nutrients relative to meaningful threshold levels. Fourth, we examine the effect of the SBP on other members of the family besides the school-aged child. We have three main findings. First, the SBP helps students build good eating habits: SBP increases scores on the healthy eating index, reduces the percentage of calories from fat, and reduces the probability of low fiber intake. Second, the SBP reduces the probability of serum micronutrient deficiencies in vitamin C, vitamin E, and folate, and it increases the probability that children meet USDA recommendations for potassium and iron intakes. Since we find no effect on total calories these results indicate that the program improves the quality of food consumed. Finally, in households with school-aged children, both preschool children and adults have healthier diets and consume less fat when the SBP is available. These results suggest that school nutrition programs may be an effective way to combat both nutritional deficiencies and excess consumption among children and their families.

Click on "PDF" or submit your email address for full text.

International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) [Laxenburg, Austria] Interim Report: "Policy Pathways to Health in the Russian Federation," edited by Landis MacKellar, Elena Andriouchina, and David Horlacher (IR-04-021, June 2004, .pdf format, 158p.).


"Policy Pathways to Health in the Russian Federation" was the name given to a project implemented in 2002-04 by IIASA in collaboration with the institute for Socio-economic Studies of Population of the Russian Academy of Sciences. The core activity of the project was organizing a workshop, held at IIASA in September 2003, at which national and international researchers and policy makers shared information and insights. Through workshop papers and discussions, sources of the poor health situation in Russia ranging from bad health behaviors to inadequate health care financing were discussed and analyzed. The focus throughout was on possible policy responses.

Click on PDF icon for link to full text.

Center for Economic Studies/Ifo Institute for Economic Research (CES/Ifo) [University of Munich, Germany]: "Population, Population Density, and Technological Change," by Stephan Klasen and Thorsten Nestmann (Working Paper 1209, June 2004, .pdf format, 18p.).


In a model on population and endogenous technological change, Kremer combines a short-run Malthusian scenario where income determines the population that can be sustained, with the Boserupian insight that greater population spurs technological change and can therefore lift a country out of its Malthusian trap. We show that a more realistic version of the model, which combines population and population density, allows deeper insights into these processes. The incorporation of population density also allows a superior interpretation of the empirical regularities between the level of population, population density, population growth, and economic development, both at aggregated and disaggregated levels.


Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) [University of Bonn, Germany]:

A. "Educational Achievement in English-Speaking Countries: Do Different Surveys Tell the Same Story?" by John Micklewright and Sylke V. Schnepf (Discussion Paper No. 1186, June. 2004, .pdf format, 37p.)


International surveys of educational achievement are typically analysed in isolation from each other with no indication as to whether new results confirm or contradict those from earlier surveys. The paper pulls together results from four surveys to compare average levels of achievement, inequality of achievement, and the correlates of achievement (especially family background) among the six English-speaking OECD countries and between them and countries from Continental Europe. Our aim is to see whether a robust pattern emerges across the different sources: the Trends in International Maths and Science Study (TIMSS), the Programme of International Student Assessment (PISA), the Programme of International Reading Literacy Study (PIRLS) and the International Adult Literacy Survey (IALS).

B. "Occupational Mobility and Wage Inequality," by Gueorgui Kambourov and Iourii Manovskii (Discussion Paper No. 1189, June 2004, .pdf format, 63p.).


In this study we argue that wage inequality and occupational mobility are intimately related. We are motivated by our empirical findings that human capital is occupation-specific and that the fraction of workers switching occupations in the United States was as high as 16% a year in the early 1970s and had increased to 19% by the early 1990s. We develop a general equilibrium model with occupation-specific human capital and heterogeneous experience levels within occupations. We argue that the increase in occupational mobility was due to the increase in the variability of productivity shocks to occupations. The model, calibrated to match the increase in occupational mobility, accounts for over 90% of the increase in wage inequality over the period. A distinguishing feature of the theory is that it accounts for changes in within-group wage inequality and the increase in the variability of transitory earnings.

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JOURNAL TABLES OF CONTENTS (check your library for availability):

INGENTA Tables of Contents: INGENTA provides fee based document delivery services for selected journals.

A. Point your browser to:

B. click on "browse by publication"
C. Click the "fax/ariel" radio button, type the Journal Name in the "by words in the title" search box and click "search".
D. View the table of contents for the issue noted.

Gender and Society (Vol. 18, No. 3, 2004).

International Migration (Vol. 42, No. 2, June 2004).

Journal of the American Statistical Association (Vol. 99, No. 466, 2004). Note: Full electronic text of this journal is available in the ProQuest Research Library. Check your library for the availability of this database and this issue.

Journal of Political Economy (Vol. 112, No. 3, 2004). Note: Full electronic text of this journal is available in the ProQuest Research Library. Check your library for the availability of this database and this issue.

Milbank Quarterly (Vol. 82, No. 2, 2004).

Other Journals

American Journal of Public Health (Vol. 94, No. 7, July 2004).

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Population Association of Pakistan (PAP): PAP has issued a call for papers for its 5th Annual Research Conference "Sharing Population & Development Research Across South & West Asia," to be held in Karachi, Dec. 14-16, 2004. For more information see:

_American Journal of Public Health_/Kaiser Family Foundation Call for Papers: "Health Policy Challenges Affecting American Indians and Alaska Natives." "The American Journal of Public Health (AJPH), in collaboration with the Henry J. Kaiser Family Foundation, is planning to publish a collection of papers on how the United States can more effectively meet the health care needs of American Indians and Alaska Natives (AIANs). The guest editors are soliciting contributions to the 'Health Policy and Ethics' and 'Research and Practice' sections of the AJPH. Research Articles (180 word structured abstract, 3500 word text, up to 4 tables/figures) and Analytic Essays (120 word unstructured abstract, 3500 word text, up to 4 tables/figures) for the department 'Health Policy and Ethics' are encouraged that address the challenges or approaches to eliminating health care disparities (in access, quality, or financing of care) between AIANs and other population groups. All papers will undergo peer review by the AJPH editorial team, the guest editors, and a slate of referees, as per AJPH policy.

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House Committee on International Relations Hearing Publication: "The United States Government Strategy for Fighting HIV/AIDS: Implementation of Public Law 108-25," a hearing held Mar. 4, 2004, .pdf format, 31p.).

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Census Bureau: "Percent Urban for Super-PUMAs and PUMAs: 2000 (PHC-T-36)" (July 2004, Microsoft Excel, .pdf [58p.], and comma separated value [.csv] format).

National Center for Health Statistics:

A. "Early Release of Selected Estimates Based on Data From the 2003 National Health Interview Survey" (June 2004, .pdf format, 84p.). "In this release, the National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) updates estimates for 15 selected health measures based on data from the 2003 National Health Interview Survey (NHIS) and presents estimates from 1997 through 2002 for comparison. The 15 Early Release measures are being published prior to final data editing and final weighting to provide access to the most recent information from the NHIS. The estimates will be updated on a quarterly basis as each new quarter of the NHIS data becomes available."

B. NCHS' "Healthy Women: State Trends in Health and Mortality" has updated the following topics to its web based extraction system (Beyond 20/20 format): Birthweight; Preterm birth; Cesarean deliveries; Prenatal care; and Smoking during pregnancy.

Click on "Tables" for link to data.

National Longitudinal Study: The Bureau of Labor Statistics, via the Center for Human Resource Research (CHRR) at the Ohio State University, has released the following National Longitudinal Survey documentation items in electronic format (all .pdf format), which may be of interest to demographic researchers.

NLS Mature Women and Young Women

1995 Young Women Questionnaire (G1395)
1997 Young Women Questionnaire (G1397)
1999 Young Women Questionnaire (G1399)
Codebook Supplement - Young Women (G07)

National Center for Education Statistics: "Program for International Student Assessment (PISA) 2000 Data File" (NCES 2004006), May 2004. "This CD-ROM contains PISA 2000 public-use data for the United States in ASCII format. It also contains a user's guide and an electronic codebook." More information about PISA is available at the site. The CD-ROM is available free of charge and can be ordered at the site.

Department of Housing and Urban Development/Census Bureau: "The 2001 Residential Finance Survey." "The 2001 Residential Finance Survey (RFS) was sponsored by the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) and conducted by the Census Bureau. The RFS is a follow-on survey to the 2000 decennial census designed to collect, process, and produce information about the financing of all non-farm, residential properties. Previous RF surveys have been integral parts of the decennial censuses since 1950. Primary users of RFS data in addition to HUD include the Bureau of Economic Analysis, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, and the Congress. Data are collected, tabulated, and presented for properties, the standard unit of reference for financial transactions related to housing. In the RFS, a property is defined as all the buildings and land covered by a single first mortgage. The sample for the RFS is stratified by property size, with large properties over represented in the sample. Very large properties are selected with certainty to control their effect on the reliability of the estimates. The RFS is the only standardized single source of detailed information on property, mortgage, and financial characteristics for multi-unit properties. Both property owners and mortgage lenders are interviewed, resulting in more accurate information on property and mortgage characteristics. As part of the decennial census, the RFS is mandatory. This is important in collecting information from mortgage lenders." Data (self decompressing [.exe] ASCII format) and documentation (.pdf format) are available at the site.

Inter-University Consortium for Political and Social Research (University of Michigan): The Substance Abuse and Mental Health Data Archive (SAMHDA) of ICPSR has released Treatment Episode Data Set (TEDS), 2002. ASCII data and technical documentation, as well as online extraction via ICPSR's Online Data Analysis System (DAS) are available.

Medical Expenditure Panel Survey Instruments:

A. "The 2002 Adult Self Administered Questionnaire (SAQ) (US Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality, July 2004, .pdf format, 8p.).

English version:

Spanish version:

B. "2001 Diabetes Care" (US Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality, July 2004, .pdf format, 3p.).

English version:

Spanish version:

Luxembourg Income Study: "As of [July 5, 2004], the Danish files for 1995 and 1997 will no longer be included in the LIS databank. Due to quality constraints of the present ones, the LIS team has decided to cease the availability until further notice. However, in cooperation with the Danish National Institute of Social Research, we will continue our efforts to replace the files with good quality data.

UK Data Archive (Essex University): The UK Data Archive has recently added the following dataset to its holdings. Note: There may be charges or licensing requirements on holdings of the UK Data Archive. For more information see:

SN 4970-Parents' Demand for Childcare, 2001

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Harvard School of Public Health: "The Public Health Disparities: Geocoding Project Monograph." "Geocoding and Monitoring US Socioeconomic Inequalities in Health: An introduction to using area-based socioeconomic measures." "These pages present an introduction to geocoding and using area-based socioeconomic measures with public health surveillance data, based on the work of the Public Health Disparities Geocoding Project at the Harvard School of Public Health, Department of Society, Human Development, and Health."

Kaiser Family Foundation: "This partnership website was developed with the simple goal of providing policymakers, journalists, academics and activists with the tools to place the world's two billion young people and children at the centre of global and national HIV/AIDS policy, programme and investment strategies." There is a link from this site to the site of the XV International AIDS Conference, to be held in Bangkok, Thailand, Jul. 11-16, 2004.

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Jack Solock
Data Librarian--Center for Demography and Ecology
4470 Social Science
University of Wisconsin-Madison
Madison, WI 53706